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bmt qs news 31 – The Impact of La Nina

Relief for Farmers but Tough Times Ahead for Construction

The drought-breaking La Nina weather pattern has finally kicked in, bringing flooding rains along the eastern coast and filling the rivers that feed into the Murray-Darling river system.

Forecasters are predicting an extended wet period but remain unwilling, at least officially, to call the end of the worst drought in living memory. And they warn it would still take rains of ‘biblical proportions’ to fill the dams of cities and towns.

bmt One-in-20-year storms drenched parts of Sydney and Wollongong through January and February, signalling the beginning of what many analysts believe will be an extended period of above average rain fall and frequent storms.

The wettest conditions in a decade in Queensland have brought relief to many locals but virtually brought the construction industry to a standstill. In North Queensland, the Townsville Bulletin recently reported that the wet weather has affected 25,000 tradespeople in Townsville alone, resulting in $8.5 million a day in lost production.

While the recent rains have been welcomed by many and, in some parts, brought an end to the drought, the cost to the construction industry could be significant with many projects already experiencing increasing costs. These costs are associated with extensive rain delays, lost productivity, extended equipment hire periods and increased personnel costs, not to mention the often expensive task of cleaning up and pumping out water in the aftermath of heavy rains.

As with any delaying factor in construction, rain has the potential to add significant costs to the construction of any building, often forcing sites closed for days after the rain has stopped.

Following a review of over 130 progress claims assessments completed by BMT & ASSOC in February an average of 12 days delay was recorded due to inclement weather. Many projects in their earlier stages with a higher sensitivity to the wet conditions experienced as many as 20 days of lost time.

As noted in previous bmt qs news issues, the vast majority of mainstream construction contracts place the cost risks associated with rain delays squarely on the developer. Generally these contracts allow for extensions of time for inclement weather, but can be structured to limit the actual amount of money claimable by the contractor for these delays. The costs to the developer (such as holding and interest costs) are unavoidable and should be prepared for through appropriate contingencies.

The Solution: Be Prepared!

While all construction is affected by rain to some extent, the severity of the delays is often dictated by the type of project and the stage of construction. Largely prefabricated structures (such as warehouses) minimise their exposure to inclement weather due to the construction method and materials used. However, those with extensive excavations and basements can often be held up for weeks following heavy frequent rain, as water is pumped out and collapsed excavations are reexcavated, adding significantly to the end cost of the project.

bmt While there is no ultimate solution to inclement weather, developers and financiers will be well served to take this into account in the planning stages and when considering finance to ensure that the potential extended delays are not the factor that turns a profitable project into an extended nightmare.

BMT & ASSOC provide cost planning services and financial construction advice that extends to recommended contingencies, time programs and advice, protecting the developer and financier to some extent from such uncontrollable variables as the weather. Please feel free to contact Tom, Brad, Brendan or Pedro at the office to discuss your development scenario.

Recently Completed Projects

Location: Newport, VIC

Project type: 6 residential units
Approx. Construction Cost Per m2: $1,440/m²

Location: Rockhampton, QLD

Project type: 65 lot subdivision
Approx. Construction Cost Per Lot: $77,500/lot

Location: Redfern, NSW

Project type: 7 unit townhouse development
Approx. Construction Cost Per m2: $1,850/m²

Location: Shoreham, VIC

Project type: Aged care facility
Approx. Construction Cost Per m2: $1,640/m²

Location: Mudgeeraba, QLD

Project type: Commercial development
Approx. Construction Cost Per Lot: $1,745/m²

Quantity Surveying Work

Quantity Surveying Work

Disclaimer: This information should be read subject to the following conditions:

• Information is published as a matter of interest only and is not intended to be relied upon by readers. In any situations which may be similar to matters herein readers should exercise and rely upon their own judgement.
• Neither BMT & ASSOC Pty Ltd nor any of its officers or employees bear any responsibility for any error in the material published in this publication or in any previous publication, or for any damage or loss resulting from any reliance on any material published in this publication or in any previous publication.
• This newsletter is issued as a helpful guide and is not intended to, and does not cover all aspects of the topics discussed. Professional advice should be sought before any action upon these topics is undertaken.